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✨ Payroll Power Hour: Preparing for the Autumn Budget 2025 - You're invited !
💷 All the rates & thresholds you need to know for 25/26...right here
✨ The Payroll Journey: Start, Scale & Succeed Globally - learn more
Current rates (2025):
National Living Wage (NLW): £12.21/hour for workers aged 21+.
Youth wages increased dramatically (16-18% rises for younger workers).
Future planning (2026):
Projected NLW of £12.71/hour (Low Pay Commission estimate)
Strategic HR considerations:
Wage compression — shrinking gap between minimum wage and experienced staff.
Government aims to remove age-based bands over time.
⚠️ Compliance risk:
HMRC actively enforces legislation — calculation errors create major financial liability
UK employment legislation is changing fast. For HR and finance leaders in growing companies, staying ahead means managing strategy, budgets and retention.
You’ve just handled the new minimum wage for 2025 and its huge youth wage hikes. Now, all eyes are on the minimum wage for 2026.
The April 2026 minimum wage rise (projected £12.71/hour) isn't just a compliance update — it's a strategic workforce planning challenge that will reshape your entire compensation structure.
This guide provides the figures and strategic context you need. This isn’t just a simple update, it’s a core business challenge that will affect your costs, staff, and obligations. Make sure your business is prepared.
The new minimum wage for 2025 was a major financial event. From 1st April 2025, the rates at which employers must legally remunerate staff saw a large jump.
The headline National Living Wage (NLW) rose 6.7% to £12.21 an hour for workers 21 and over. This jump in staff costs forced companies to recalculate their budgets and projections. However, the biggest story was the sharp increase in youth wages.
The government aims to end bandings based on age. The 2025 rate increases were a huge step, and a shock for any employer of younger workers. This was not a minor adjustment. It was a significant policy shock.
| Category | Increase | Rate (£/hour) |
|---|---|---|
| 18-20 year-olds | 16.3% | 10 |
| 16-17 year-olds | 18.0% | 7.55 |
| Apprentices | 18.0% | 7.55 |
For companies in retail, hospitality, or trades using apprentices, these costs were transformative. An employer needed more cash for their wage bill just to meet their obligations. This reset the cost of entry-level work, and made managing an apprenticeship scheme far more expensive.
With 2025 figures in place, focus shifts to the April 2026 adjustment. The Low Pay Commission (LPC) is finalising its advice.
The central projection for the minimum wage for 2026 (NLW) is £12.71 per hour.
This 4.1% rise reflects the government’s target of two-thirds of median earnings. HR leaders must use this £12.71 figure for 2026 budgeting now, even before the final rate is confirmed.
Budget at £12.71 (central projection) but model cash flow at £12.86 (upper range) to avoid mid-year revisions. The £0.15/hour difference across 100 FTE equals £31,200 annual risk.
Consider the cumulative two-year impact: 2024→2025 (+6.7%) + 2025→2026 (+4.1%) = 11.1% compound increase. This isn't a temporary spike—sustained above-inflation growth has permanently reset baseline labour costs.
After 2025’s youth wage shock, the 4.1% projected 2026 rise seems ‘steady’. This reflects a cautious approach, balancing the cost of living for employees with cost pressures on companies.
An employer faces a tough climate of higher tax and energy costs. This 2026 wage is a middle ground: a real-terms remuneration rise for workers without the recent double-digit shocks. Still, a 4.1% rise is a significant cost. Growing businesses cannot be complacent, and low-cost labour is gone.
HR managers must act now. Use the £12.71 projection as your baseline. The LPC’s full range is £12.55 to £12.86. Prudent planning means modelling towards the higher end. This change impacts more than just minimum wage employees, the knock-on effect is the key strategic issue for HR.
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Managing the minimum wage is no longer a simple tick-box. For growing companies, it creates complex challenges for your entire reward strategy.
Wage compression is the biggest side effect of a rising wage floor. When the gap shrinks between minimum wage staff and experienced team leaders, it kills morale.
For example, in April 2026, a minimum wage worker’s remuneration must rise to £12.71. If their supervisor only earns £13.00, the gap for their extra work collapses. This hurts retention and motivation, making your strategies to reduce employee turnover less effective.
As an HR leader, you face a hard choice. Do you only raise the lowest wages, risking demotivation? Or do you adjust all bands, costing the business much more? Growing companies must find a balance. Your 2026 wage budget needs funds to manage this compression, perhaps by enhancing your non-cash rewards, such as benefits-in-kind, alongside managing the statutory minimum.
Higher minimum wage levels mean more HMRC scrutiny. Calculation errors are easy and expensive. HMRC actively names and shames non-adherent companies. The costs include back-pay for six years, plus massive fines.
To meet your obligations, following a clear payroll compliance checklist is essential. Modern, automated software is your best support to check and guarantee your compliance. Common pitfalls, such as miscalculating a travel allowance, include:
Deductions: Uniform or tool costs that push final remuneration below the minimum.
Unpaid working time: Failing to compensate for training or travel time and passing security checks.
Wrong birthdate changes: Not updating wages when an employee has a birthday.
Apprentice status: Misapplying the rate. An apprentice aged 19+ in their second year of an apprenticeship is entitled to the full minimum for their banding, not the apprentice rate.
Failure to correctly apply the minimum wage is a direct business threat. The right processes are your best defence.
Starting budget conversations now gives you negotiating room. Waiting until February forces reactive decisions with no alternatives.
Concretely, you can refer to the following timeline:
Q4 2025 (now): Complete cost modelling using £12.71 projection. Secure board budget approval before year-end.
February 2026: Government confirms final rates (typically Budget Day). Update payroll systems.
March 2026: Brief managers and affected employees on changes.
April 2026: New rates effective from first pay period on/after April 1. Monitor retention metrics.
The final rate will be confirmed by the government in late 2025. However, the Low Pay Commission’s central projection, which you should use for budgeting, is £12.71 per hour for the National Living Wage (workers 21+). You can follow the latest LPC estimates on GOV.UK as they are updated.
All new rates, including the minimum wage for 2026, will apply from the first pay reference period on or after 1st April 2026. This is the standard date for increases, and you can see a full breakdown of the current rates on the official government page.
The key to remain compliant with NMW is to have a robust and automated payroll system. You must check that all working time is paid, deductions are legal, and the correct age and apprentice rates are applied. Using modern payroll software is the most effective way to manage compliance. For more help, explore PayFit’s payroll software solutions.
Wage increases have created a new challenge: wage compression, that is, the shrinking pay gap between NMW staff and experienced team leaders, which can harm morale. This means you must review your entire compensation strategy, not just the lowest pay bands. Deciding how to handle pay rises and bonuses for your whole team is now a critical retention task. This is far easier when you can manage your payroll effectively, ensuring all calculations are accurate and freeing you up to focus on the wider strategy.
Raising only minimum wage roles saves immediate costs but creates retention risk. Organizations that fail to address wage compression experience significantly higher turnover and reduced employee engagement.
Here’s a concrete decision framework:
• If retention is critical: Cascade increases across multiple bands
• If margins are tight: Hold senior bands flat but enhance non-cash rewards
• If recruiting is easy: Minimum compliance may be acceptable short-term
In addition, quantify the business case: a £15/hour supervisor replacement costs £4,500 (recruitment + training + lost productivity). Strategic compression adjustments will help you prevent this.
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